Weather forecast: a small AI outperforms the biggest supercomputers 🌤️

Published by Adrien,
Source: Nature
Other Languages: FR, DE, ES, PT

A new era is dawning for weather forecasting thanks to artificial intelligence. Researchers have developed a system, Aardvark Weather, capable of generating weather forecasts with unprecedented speed and energy efficiency.


Aardvark Weather uses machine learning to predict the weather, based on raw data from satellites, weather stations, ships, and weather balloons. This method differs radically from traditional physical models, which require supercomputers.

The system has demonstrated its ability to outperform the U.S. global forecasting system using only 8% of the data required by conventional methods. This opens up prospects for faster, less expensive, and potentially more accurate forecasts.

Despite a slightly lower spatial resolution, Aardvark Weather can be adapted for specific local forecasts, such as temperatures for African agriculture or wind speeds for renewable energy in Europe. This flexibility is a major asset for targeted applications.

Researchers plan to extend Aardvark's capabilities to other weather phenomena, such as hurricanes, wildfires, and tornadoes. Additionally, its application could extend to air quality forecasting, ocean dynamics, and sea ice.

Aardvark Weather represents a significant advance in the democratization of weather forecasting. By enabling forecasts on desktop computers, it makes this technology accessible to regions of the world that lack resources for supercomputers.

This innovation could transform how we predict and respond to weather conditions, offering powerful tools to communities and industries previously excluded from cutting-edge weather forecasting technologies.

How does Aardvark Weather work?


Aardvark Weather uses a machine learning approach to predict the weather. Unlike traditional systems that rely on complex physical models, Aardvark processes raw data directly from various sources such as satellites and weather stations.

This method allows Aardvark to generate forecasts quickly and with reduced energy consumption. By avoiding the intermediate steps of physical modeling, the system can produce results in minutes on a desktop computer.

Aardvark's efficiency lies in its ability to learn from the data it receives. This means it can adapt and improve over time, integrating new information to refine its forecasts.

This innovative approach paves the way for multiple applications, ranging from local weather forecasting to specific phenomena like hurricanes or wildfires, as well as related fields like air quality and ocean dynamics.

What are the advantages of Aardvark Weather?


Aardvark Weather offers several major advantages over traditional weather forecasting systems. First, it is much faster, capable of generating forecasts in minutes on a desktop computer, compared to several hours for supercomputers.

Second, it is more energy-efficient, requiring a fraction of the computing power of existing systems. This reduces operational costs and makes the technology accessible to a larger number of users.

Finally, Aardvark can be adapted for specific local forecasts, which is particularly useful for applications like agriculture or renewable energy management. This flexibility is a key asset in meeting the varied needs of users.

These combined advantages make Aardvark Weather a promising innovation for the democratization of weather forecasting, making this technology accessible to regions of the world that lack resources for supercomputers.
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